Caenvs
La Roche VF
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Roche VF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Caen 2-1 La Roche VF
Original prediction
La Roche VF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.1% | 34.9% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.3% | 28.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.6% | 36.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
La Roche VF
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
La Roche VF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00