Cadizvs
Valladolid
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valladolid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cadiz 0-0 Valladolid, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cadiz 1-1 Valladolid
Original prediction
Valladolid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.5% | 31.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.8% | 30.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.8% | 38.2% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Cadiz 0–0 Valladolid
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Valladolid
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Valladolid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CadizDDLWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValladolidLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CadizValladolid
43.7Attack40.5
57.9Defence71.4
43.7Form57.1
49.6Power57.8
0.78xG0.96