Cadizvs
Sporting Gijon
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cadiz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cadiz 0-0 Sporting Gijon, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cadiz 0-1 Sporting Gijon
Original prediction
Cadiz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 44.0% | 38.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.6% | 30.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.4% | 30.4% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Projected Score
Cadiz 0–0 Sporting Gijon
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Cadiz
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Cadiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CadizWDLLL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting GijonWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CadizSporting Gijon
45.8Attack33.3
58.3Defence66.7
29.2Form54.2
44.6Power53.8
1.02xG0.86