Cadizvs
Las Palmas
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 38.6% | 33.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.7% | 30.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.7% | 35.3% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Cadiz 0–0 Las Palmas
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CadizLDDDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Las PalmasDLWWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CadizLas Palmas
43.7Attack43.9
57.9Defence68.2
43.7Form56.1
49.6Power57.3
0.87xG1.04