Cadizvs
AD Ceuta FC
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cadiz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cadiz 3-1 AD Ceuta FC
Original prediction
Cadiz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 49.0% | 51.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.0% | 26.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.9% | 22.2% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Cadiz
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Cadiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CadizLLWDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD Ceuta FCLLDWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
CadizAD Ceuta FC
36.7Attack30.0
56.7Defence26.7
23.3Form16.7
39.6Power27.6
1.78xG0.69