Cacereñovs
Unionistas de Salamanca
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cacereño · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacereño 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca
Original prediction
Cacereño
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.6% | 48.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 26.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Cacereño
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Cacereño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80