Cacereñovs
UD San Pedro
COMPLETEDSpain · Copa Federacion · 9/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cacereño · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacereño 2-0 UD San Pedro
Original prediction
Cacereño
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.9% | 44.9% | -20.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 26.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.54 | 13.8% | 28.2% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cacereño
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Cacereño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00