Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacereño 1-0 Mirandes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CacereñoLWWDL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MirandesLWDWW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CacereñoMirandes
36.8Attack50.0
57.0Defence50.0
38.6Form50.0
45.8Power50.0
1.02xG1.05