Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CacereñoLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LugoWWWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CacereñoLugo
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power50.0
1.11xG0.97