Cacahuatiquevs
Platense
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cacahuatique · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacahuatique 1-2 Platense
Original prediction
Cacahuatique
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 47.8% | 42.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.1% | 27.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.1% | 30.6% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cacahuatique
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Cacahuatique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40