Cacahuatiquevs
FAS
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacahuatique 0-2 FAS
Original prediction
FAS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.86 | 23.3% | 18.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 22.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.3% | 58.4% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CacahuatiqueLLDLD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FASDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CacahuatiqueFAS
40.7Attack59.3
44.4Defence66.7
25.9Form63.0
39.3Power63.3
0.85xG1.87