Cacahuatiquevs
Alianza
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cacahuatique 0-0 Alianza
Original prediction
Alianza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 26.7% | 24.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.5% | 24.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.7% | 51.6% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Alianza
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Alianza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60