GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/18/2023, 7:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caboolture · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Caboolture are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while SWQ Thunder are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Queensland Premier League, while Caboolture holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caboolture

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Caboolture has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CabooltureDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
SWQ ThunderDDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 2.33/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
CabooltureSWQ Thunder
68.2Attack72.7
42.4Defence45.5
47.0Form45.5
53.1Power53.0
2.49xG2.38
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