CA River Platevs
Rentistas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CA River Plate 0-0 Rentistas
Original prediction
CA River Plate
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.9% | 37.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.9% | 27.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 35.0% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
CA River Plate
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
CA River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00