GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA River Plate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rentistas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rentistas

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateLDWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RentistasDLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CA River PlateRentistas
45.6Attack40.4
45.6Defence63.2
43.9Form49.1
47.5Power52.9
1.06xG1.22
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