GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/11/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

CA River Plate are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Primera División, while CA River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA River Plate

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

CA River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateLLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Plaza ColoniaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
CA River PlatePlaza Colonia
33.3Attack36.4
60.6Defence36.4
43.9Form30.3
47.7Power36.8
1.41xG0.76
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