CA River Platevs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
CA River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
16.3%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80