GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 7/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

CA River Plate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Segunda División, while Plaza Colonia holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Plaza Colonia

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

16.3%

Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Plaza ColoniaWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA River PlatePlaza Colonia
45.6Attack43.9
45.6Defence75.4
43.9Form56.1
47.5Power59.4
0.70xG1.35
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