CA River PlatevsPenarol

CA River Plate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Penarol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while CA River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.