GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA River Plate · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CA River Plate are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Paysandu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Segunda División, while CA River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA River Plate

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

14.1%

CA River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PaysanduDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CA River PlatePaysandu
45.6Attack36.8
45.6Defence54.4
43.9Form35.1
47.5Power44.7
1.35xG1.08
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