CA River Platevs
Paysandu
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA River Plate · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CA River Plate are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA River Plate hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Segunda División, while CA River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA River Plate
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
14.1%
CA River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00