GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oriental · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CA River Plate 3-1 Oriental

Original prediction

Oriental

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Oriental

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Oriental has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OrientalDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CA River PlateOriental
45.7Attack44.0
51.9Defence66.7
42.0Form53.6
48.1Power56.5
0.95xG1.19
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