CA River Platevs
Colón
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CA River Plate 0-0 Colón, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
CA River Plate 3-0 Colón
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 35.7% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 30.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 34.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
CA River Plate 0–0 Colón
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CA River PlateDDLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColónLDLLW
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CA River PlateColón
42.7Attack37.3
52.0Defence66.7
41.3Form50.7
47.3Power53.7
0.90xG1.00