GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atenas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CA River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atenas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atenas

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

13.4%

Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA River PlateWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtenasWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CA River PlateAtenas
45.6Attack49.1
45.6Defence57.9
43.9Form50.9
47.5Power53.6
1.21xG1.49
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