GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazDWDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCDLWWL

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazVenados FC
75.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
57.9Power53.2
2.18xG1.43
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