GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/24/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Venados FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CA La PazVenados FC
75.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
57.9Power53.2
2.18xG1.43
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