CA La Pazvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/24/2024, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Venados FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20