GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/25/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWLLLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Venados FCWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazVenados FC
75.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
57.9Power53.2
2.18xG1.43
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