CA La Pazvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/10/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20