Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00