Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80