GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánWDWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazTepatitlán
75.0Attack8.3
58.3Defence16.7
50.0Form0.0
57.9Power13.0
2.73xG0.91
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