GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/24/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TepatitlánLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazTepatitlán
75.0Attack8.3
58.3Defence16.7
50.0Form0.0
57.9Power13.0
2.73xG0.91
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