CA La Pazvs
Tepatitlán
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/24/2024, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
71.6%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60