Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tapatío are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.9 against 58.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60