Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Tapatío are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.9 against 58.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50