Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80