GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/16/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazDLLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CA La PazMineros de Zacatecas
75.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence41.7
50.0Form66.7
57.9Power68.8
1.97xG1.65
View match centre →