GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/18/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWDWLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazMineros de Zacatecas
75.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence41.7
50.0Form66.7
57.9Power68.8
1.97xG1.65
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