CA La Pazvs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/16/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20