CA La PazvsLeones Negros UDG

CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.