CA La Pazvs
Leones Negros UDG
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2025, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20