CA La PazvsLeones Negros UDG

CA La Paz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.