Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Irapuato are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80