Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40