GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/25/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CA La PazCorrecaminos Uat
75.0Attack91.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
57.9Power62.0
2.14xG1.61
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