CA La Pazvs
Cimarrones
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/31/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cimarrones are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40