Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CA La Paz are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Celaya are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33