GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/28/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CDS Tampico MaderoDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazCDS Tampico Madero
75.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence88.9
50.0Form44.4
57.9Power54.9
1.67xG1.13
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