GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/7/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWWDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CA La PazCDS Tampico Madero
75.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence88.9
50.0Form44.4
57.9Power54.9
1.67xG1.13
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