Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
CA La Paz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80