Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
CA La Paz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40