GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/8/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CA La PazWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CA La PazAtlante FC
75.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
57.9Power63.9
1.02xG1.26
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